Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Miss
Conference USA
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#74
Expected Predictive Rating+6.6#75
Pace67.6#183
Improvement-1.2#229

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#72
Improvement+0.1#172

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#74
Improvement-1.3#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.4% n/a n/a
First Round2.5% n/a n/a
Second Round0.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 112   @ South Florida W 60-53 51%     1 - 0 +13.6 +3.1 +3.8
  Nov 17, 2010 292   South Alabama W 93-58 94%     2 - 0 +23.7 -5.2 -4.6
  Nov 22, 2010 197   McNeese St. W 75-60 87%     3 - 0 +9.8 -2.3 -2.2
  Dec 01, 2010 342   Alcorn St. W 100-71 99%     4 - 0 +6.9 -10.4 -10.6
  Dec 04, 2010 76   @ Mississippi L 81-86 39%     4 - 1 +4.7 +4.7 +4.8
  Dec 12, 2010 65   @ California W 80-78 34%     5 - 1 +13.3 +5.7 +5.7
  Dec 22, 2010 121   East Tennessee St. W 64-60 66%     6 - 1 +6.8 +0.9 +2.0
  Dec 23, 2010 133   Saint Louis W 74-67 68%     7 - 1 +9.2 +1.2 +1.3
  Dec 24, 2010 72   Colorado St. L 58-63 50%     7 - 2 +2.0 +3.2 +3.6
  Dec 29, 2010 318   Mississippi Valley W 91-46 96%     8 - 2 +31.0 -6.5 -5.7
  Dec 30, 2010 265   Savannah St. W 64-54 93%     9 - 2 +0.6 -4.7 -4.2
  Jan 05, 2011 202   Houston W 85-73 88%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +6.2 -2.1 -3.1
  Jan 08, 2011 78   @ Marshall L 65-95 41%     10 - 3 1 - 1 -20.8 +3.9 +4.1
  Jan 12, 2011 153   @ Rice W 81-78 OT 61%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +7.1 +2.0 +2.3
  Jan 15, 2011 105   Central Florida W 86-69 73%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +17.6 +0.9 +0.5
  Jan 19, 2011 92   Memphis L 75-76 70%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +0.6 +0.9 +0.6
  Jan 22, 2011 150   @ SMU L 65-79 60%     12 - 5 3 - 3 -9.7 +2.2 +1.4
  Jan 26, 2011 141   @ East Carolina W 84-77 57%     13 - 5 4 - 3 +12.0 +3.1 +2.2
  Jan 29, 2011 180   Tulane W 67-54 85%     14 - 5 5 - 3 +8.8 -2.0 -1.6
  Feb 02, 2011 68   @ UAB W 75-71 35%     15 - 5 6 - 3 +15.0 +6.1 +5.2
  Feb 05, 2011 78   Marshall W 67-60 65%     16 - 5 7 - 3 +9.9 +1.1 +2.1
  Feb 12, 2011 92   @ Memphis L 61-67 46%     16 - 6 7 - 4 +1.9 +3.7 +3.9
  Feb 16, 2011 67   UTEP W 64-51 59%     17 - 6 8 - 4 +17.7 +2.3 +3.1
  Feb 19, 2011 141   East Carolina W 72-55 78%     18 - 6 9 - 4 +15.7 -0.5 +0.0
  Feb 26, 2011 105   @ Central Florida L 64-65 50%     18 - 7 9 - 5 +5.9 +3.6 +3.3
  Mar 02, 2011 68   UAB L 66-67 59%     18 - 8 9 - 6 +3.7 +2.5 +2.2
  Mar 05, 2011 87   @ Tulsa L 70-78 45%     18 - 9 9 - 7 +0.3 +4.2 +3.7
  Mar 09, 2011 180   Tulane W 63-47 78%     19 - 9 +14.9 -0.4 +0.2
  Mar 10, 2011 92   Memphis L 63-66 58%     19 - 10 +1.8 +2.2 +2.4
Projected Record 19.0 - 10.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 5.5% 5.5% 12.2 0.0 4.4 1.0 94.5 5.5%
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.5% 0.0% 5.5% 12.2 0.0 4.4 1.0 94.5 5.5%